Net Free-Energy Conversion Efficiency as a Unifying Metric for Food Quality

A Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamic Framework

Target journals: Cell Metabolism (with empirical validation) · Advances in Nutrition · Critical Reviews in Food Science and Nutrition

non-equilibrium thermodynamics free energy entropy production food quality oxidative phosphorylation exergy dietary inflammatory index metabolic efficiency

Abstract

Current nutritional science evaluates food primarily through first-law thermodynamic quantities — caloric content, macronutrient ratios, and micronutrient density. This framework is incomplete. The human body is a dissipative structure operating far from thermodynamic equilibrium, where the efficiency of free-energy transduction — not total energy content — determines the biological utility of food. We propose the Thermodynamic Food Rating (TFR), a composite metric grounded in non-equilibrium thermodynamics that evaluates food by its net free-energy conversion efficiency: the ratio of useful biological work extracted to total thermodynamic cost, including metabolic conversion overhead and entropy-production proxies. We derive a theoretical expression for food-level thermodynamic efficiency (TFRtheory) from first principles using the Kedem-Caplan formalism for coupled energy conversion, and derive from it a computable operational estimator (TFRop) using established biomarkers for three entropy-production proxy components (oxidative stress via F2-isoprostanes, inflammatory load via the Dietary Inflammatory Index, and metabolic waste processing via urea cycle energetics). We propose two additional entropy-cost components (hormonal disruption and microbiome entropy) with supporting evidence but without per-food quantification. We present preliminary TFRop scores for representative foods across all major categories and generate seven testable predictions. This framework offers a thermodynamics-informed alternative to purely compositional approaches to diet evaluation and suggests that the metabolic cost of a food — beyond its caloric content — deserves systematic quantification.

1. Introduction

1.1 The Calorie Problem

The calorie, as applied to nutrition, is a bomb calorimetry measurement: the total heat released when a food is combusted to completion in pure oxygen (Atwater, 1900). This quantity — gross energy — has dominated nutritional science for over a century. The Atwater system and its descendants assign fixed energy values to macronutrients (protein: 4 kcal/g; carbohydrate: 4 kcal/g; fat: 9 kcal/g; alcohol: 7 kcal/g) and form the basis of food labeling worldwide (FAO, 2003).

Yet the human body is not a bomb calorimeter. It does not combust food to completion. It is an open, dissipative thermodynamic system operating far from equilibrium (Prigogine, 1977; Prigogine & Nicolis, 1977), where food undergoes a cascade of coupled biochemical reactions — digestion, absorption, transport, oxidation, and biosynthesis — each with its own efficiency, each generating entropy. The first law of thermodynamics (energy conservation) constrains total energy balance but says nothing about the quality of energy conversion. The second law provides this missing dimension: it quantifies the irreversibility of metabolic processes and the thermodynamic cost of maintaining biological order.

A growing body of evidence demonstrates that the first law alone is insufficient to explain metabolic outcomes. Istfan (2025) showed that oxidative phosphorylation efficiency varies significantly between individuals (~57% mean, with meaningful inter-individual differences), and that feeding is associated with lower efficiency and higher free-energy dissipation — implying that what you eat affects not just how much energy enters the system but how efficiently it is converted. Hall et al. (2019) demonstrated in a randomized controlled trial that ultra-processed diets cause ~500 kcal/day overconsumption compared to unprocessed diets matched for macronutrients, energy density, sugar, sodium, and fiber — suggesting that food processing affects metabolic regulation through mechanisms invisible to first-law accounting.

1.2 The Second-Law Perspective

Non-equilibrium thermodynamics provides the theoretical apparatus to address this gap. The central quantity is entropy production rate (σ), which measures the rate at which a system dissipates free energy into waste — heat, disordered byproducts, and irreversible damage. For a living system, minimizing entropy production per unit of useful work is the thermodynamic definition of efficiency.

Prigogine (1977) established that living organisms are dissipative structures: ordered systems maintained far from equilibrium by continuous free-energy throughput. The organism takes in low-entropy inputs (food, oxygen) and exports high-entropy outputs (CO₂, heat, waste). The difference — the entropy produced — is the thermodynamic price of life. Silva and Annamalai (2008) applied this framework quantitatively, computing lifetime entropy generation for humans from metabolic data and predicting life spans of 73.78 years (male) and 81.61 years (female) from entropy generation rates alone — values within 2% of actuarial statistics.

The implication is direct: if lifetime entropy generation is approximately constant, then the rate of entropy production determines life span. And the rate of entropy production is partly determined by diet — both through the efficiency of metabolic conversion and through the secondary entropy costs of oxidative stress, inflammation, and metabolic waste.

1.3 Scope and Contribution

This paper proposes a unified framework — the Thermodynamic Food Rating (TFR) — that evaluates food by its net free-energy conversion efficiency. We:

  1. Derive a theoretical expression for food-level thermodynamic efficiency (TFRtheory) from first principles of non-equilibrium thermodynamics, using the Kedem-Caplan degree-of-coupling formalism as extended by Stucki (1980) and Wikström & Springett (2020), and derive from it an operational estimator (TFRop) using available proxy measurements.
  2. Decompose the entropy-production cost of food into five components, three grounded in established literature and two proposed as novel contributions.
  3. Present preliminary TFR scores for representative foods.
  4. Generate testable predictions.

We do not claim that TFR should replace existing nutritional metrics. We argue that it should complement them by adding the dimension that first-law quantities miss: the thermodynamic cost of converting food into useful work.

2. Theoretical Framework

2.1 The Body as a Non-Equilibrium Energy Converter

We model the human body as a coupled non-equilibrium energy converter in the sense of Kedem and Caplan (1965). The fundamental process is:

Input force (X₂): oxidation of food substrates (characterized by the redox potential, ΔGox)
Output force (X₁): phosphorylation of ADP to ATP (characterized by the phosphorylation potential, ΔGp)
Coupling: achieved through the proton-motive force across the inner mitochondrial membrane, mediated by complexes I, III, and IV of the electron transport chain plus ATP synthase.

In the linear non-equilibrium thermodynamic (LNET) regime, the phenomenological equations are:

J₁ = L₁₁X₁ + L₁₂X₂
J₂ = L₂₁X₁ + L₂₂X₂ (1)

where J₁ is the ATP synthesis flux, J₂ is the oxygen consumption flux, and Lij are the Onsager phenomenological coefficients satisfying the reciprocal relation L₁₂ = L₂₁.

The degree of coupling is defined as:

q = L₁₂ / √(L₁₁ · L₂₂) (2)

where q ranges from 0 (fully uncoupled) to 1 (fully coupled). Kedem and Caplan (1965) showed that the maximum efficiency of energy conversion depends solely on q:

ηmax = q² / (1 + √(1 − q²))² (3)

Wikström and Springett (2020) measured the degree of coupling for the three protonmotive complexes of the mitochondrial respiratory chain during active ATP synthesis (State 3), finding q ≥ 0.99 with thermodynamic efficiencies of 75–90%. This represents the intrinsic machinery efficiency — the best the system can achieve under optimal substrate conditions.

2.2 From Intrinsic to Realized Efficiency

The intrinsic efficiency of oxidative phosphorylation (ηOXPHOS) represents the energy conversion at the mitochondrial level. But the realized efficiency of food-to-work conversion involves additional losses:

ηrealized = ηOXPHOS × B × (1 − fTEF) × (1 − fentropy) (4)

where:

2.3 The TFR Equation: Theoretical Form (TFRtheory)

We define the theoretical Thermodynamic Food Rating as the ratio of useful biological work to exergy input:

TFRtheory = Wuseful / Exfood (5)

where:

Expanding fextra:

fextra = wR · R̃ + wI · Ĩ + wW · W̃ (6)

where R̃, Ĩ, W̃ are exergy fractions lost to excess ROS damage, inflammatory response, and waste processing respectively, and wR, wI, wW are weighting coefficients to be determined empirically.

Critical distinction from baseline OXPHOS loss: The ηOXPHOS term already prices in the ~43% baseline irreversibility of oxidative phosphorylation (Istfan, 2025) — the minimum entropy production inherent in the conversion machinery operating in a healthy, well-coupled state. The fextra term captures additional exergy destruction attributable to the specific food: excess ROS beyond baseline electron leakage, inflammatory signaling that diverts energy to immune response, and waste-processing costs (urea synthesis, AGE detoxification) that consume ATP without producing useful work. This separation avoids double-counting the baseline mitochondrial dissipation.

For a "perfect" food — fully bioavailable, minimal thermic effect, no excess ROS, no inflammation, no waste beyond CO₂ and H₂O — fextra = 0 and TFRtheory approaches B × ηOXPHOS × (1 − fTEF). With ηOXPHOS ≈ 0.57 (whole-body; Istfan, 2025), B ≈ 0.95, and fTEF ≈ 0.05, this ceiling is approximately 0.51. In practice, all foods fall below this.

Note on units: TFRtheory is dimensionless (kJ/kJ). All terms are exergy fractions for a defined portion, not rates. This avoids the dimensional inconsistency that would arise from mixing exergy stocks (kJ) with entropy production rates (kJ/K·s) in the denominator.

2.4 The TFR Equation: Operational Estimator (TFRop)

Because fextra cannot yet be measured in thermodynamic units for individual foods, we define an operational estimator using available proxy indices:

TFRop = (A × B × ηref × (1 − T)) / (1 + wI·I + wR·R + wW·W) (7)

where:

The denominator (1 + weighted costs) is a heuristic penalty function, not a thermodynamic identity. It ensures TFRop decreases monotonically as entropy-production proxies increase, with a baseline of 1 when all proxy costs are zero. The relationship between TFRop and TFRtheory is approximate:

TFRtheory ≈ TFRop  when  fextra ≈ (wI·I + wR·R + wW·W) / (1 + wI·I + wR·R + wW·W) (8)

This approximation holds when fextra is small (< 0.3), expected for most non-pathological foods. Validation of this mapping is a priority for empirical work (§9.1).

2.5 Exergy Content of Food

The exergy of a food quantifies its maximum work potential. For macronutrients, exergy closely tracks metabolizable energy but is not identical:

Exfood = ME × β (9)

where ME is metabolizable energy and β is the exergy-to-energy ratio. For most macronutrients, β ≈ 1.0. For fats, β is slightly > 1.0 because fats are more chemically reduced (lower oxidation state) and thus contain more chemical exergy per unit of enthalpy (Çengel et al., 2018).

Gibbs free energy from complete oxidation
SubstrateΔGox (kcal/mol per 2e⁻ to O₂)
NADH → O₂−52.5 to −57.0
FADH₂ → O₂−36.0
ATP hydrolysis−7.3 (standard); −12.0 (intracellular)

2.6 ATP Yield as a Function of Macronutrient

Livesey (1984) established definitive values for cytoplasmic ATP equivalents per MJ of metabolizable energy:

Cytoplasmic ATP equivalents per MJ metabolizable energy (Livesey, 1984)
Macronutrientmol ATP / MJ MEP/O ratios used
Carbohydrate (glucose)9.0 – 14.72.5 (NADH), 1.5 (FADH₂)
Fat (palmitate)8.6 – 14.6Same
Protein (mixed)6.4 – 13.2Same

The range within each macronutrient reflects uncertainty in mitochondrial proton stoichiometries. The key result is that fat and carbohydrate are roughly comparable in ATP yield per unit of metabolizable energy, while protein is systematically lower due to the energetic cost of nitrogen disposal via the urea cycle.

Using current P/O ratios of 2.5 (NADH) and 1.5 (FADH₂), the net ATP yield from complete oxidation of glucose is ~30–32 molecules, and from palmitate is ~106 molecules (but palmitate weighs 3.4× more per molecule).

2.7 The Protein Dual-Mode Problem

Protein occupies a unique position in this framework. As a fuel, it is the least efficient macronutrient: lowest ATP yield per MJ, highest thermic effect (20–30% vs. 0–3% for fat), and significant waste processing cost (urea synthesis: 4 high-energy phosphate bonds per urea molecule; ≥40.3 kJ/g excreted nitrogen; Anand & Anand, 1993; van Milgen et al., 2021).

However, protein's primary biological role is not fuel but structure — the maintenance and repair of ordered biological architecture. We address this by defining two modes:

This dual-mode scoring reflects the thermodynamic reality that the body is not merely an engine (converting fuel to work) but a self-maintaining dissipative structure (converting materials into ordered components while exporting entropy). In the language of biological thermodynamics: the body needs both exergy flow (fuel) and negentropy maintenance (structure).

3. The Five Entropy-Production Components

3.1 Oxidative Stress (ṢROS) — Established

Definition: The entropy generated by reactive oxygen species (ROS) produced as byproducts of electron transport and amplified by specific dietary inputs.

Mechanism: Approximately 0.2–2% of electrons traversing the mitochondrial electron transport chain escape to form superoxide radicals (O₂⁻), which generate hydrogen peroxide (H₂O₂) and hydroxyl radicals (·OH). These ROS damage lipids, proteins, and DNA — including the mitochondrial DNA encoding ETC components — creating a positive feedback loop: damaged mitochondria produce more ROS per ATP, accelerating the degradation of conversion efficiency (PMC11203720, 2024).

Measurement:

Dietary modulation (evidence):

Thermodynamic interpretation: ROS damage to the ETC directly reduces the degree of coupling (q) in the Kedem-Caplan framework, lowering ηmax. Each unit of ETC damage shifts the system from State 3 toward State 4 behavior, where q drops substantially (Wikström & Springett, 2020). The entropy cost is thus both direct (damage repair requires energy) and indirect (reduced future conversion efficiency).

Quantitative status: F2-IsoP measurement is mature and standardized. The mapping from F2-IsoP levels to entropy production rate in kJ/K requires further work but is constrained by known thermodynamic relationships.

3.2 Inflammatory Load (Ṣinflammation) — Established Measurement, Novel Framing

Definition: The entropy generated by the pro-inflammatory or anti-inflammatory effects of dietary components, measured through their impact on systemic inflammatory biomarkers.

Measurement:

Dietary examples:

Diet DII scores (Shivappa et al., 2014)
DietDII Score
Macrobiotic−5.54
Mediterranean−3.98
Fast food+4.07

Novel contribution: We propose that systemic inflammation represents entropy production through multiple mechanisms: (a) energy diversion to immune activation (neutrophil respiratory burst, cytokine synthesis, acute-phase protein production); (b) tissue damage requiring repair (additional biosynthetic cost); (c) signaling disruption (reduced precision of metabolic regulation = increased disorder). The Istfan (2025) finding that metabolic disorder reduces OXPHOS efficiency provides indirect support: inflammation is a major source of metabolic disorder.

Quantitative status: The DII is well-validated as a dietary-inflammatory score. The explicit thermodynamic interpretation — that DII can be mapped to an entropy generation rate — is our novel contribution and requires empirical validation. The mapping would take the form:

inflammation = kinfl × DIInormalized × (baseline inflammatory entropy rate) (10)

where kinfl is a scaling constant to be determined experimentally.

3.3 Metabolic Waste Processing (Ṣwaste) — Established

Definition: The entropy generated by processing and excreting metabolic byproducts, primarily from protein catabolism (urea synthesis) and Maillard reaction products (advanced glycation end-products, AGEs).

Urea cycle energetics (established biochemistry):

AGE processing (established mechanism, developing quantification):

Thermodynamic interpretation: The urea cycle cost is directly measurable in ATP equivalents and is textbook thermodynamics. The AGE processing cost is mechanistically sound but less precisely quantified at the per-food level.

3.4 Hormonal Disruption (Ṣhormonal) — Novel Contribution

Definition: The entropy generated when dietary inputs disrupt hormonal signaling — primarily insulin sensitivity, cortisol dynamics, and satiety hormone regulation — reducing the precision of metabolic control systems.

This component is a novel contribution of this framework. While the individual phenomena are well-documented, their packaging as a thermodynamic entropy cost of food has not been previously proposed.

Insulin resistance and metabolic efficiency

Satiety dysregulation

Cortisol-metabolism coupling

Measurable biomarkers: HOMA-IR, TyG index (Ln(fasting TG × fasting glucose) / 2), salivary/hair cortisol, leptin/ghrelin ratios.

Thermodynamic interpretation: A control system with reduced precision operates at lower thermodynamic efficiency — it cannot allocate resources as accurately, leading to misallocation (overconsumption, inappropriate storage, failed repair). In information-theoretic terms, hormonal disruption reduces the mutual information between metabolic state and metabolic response, which is equivalent to increased entropy in the control channel. While this interpretation is novel, it is consistent with the Istfan (2025) observation that individual variation in OXPHOS efficiency has measurable metabolic consequences.

Quantitative status: Biomarkers are well-validated. The mapping from HOMA-IR or TyG to an entropy generation rate in kJ/K is not established. This requires empirical investigation.

3.5 Microbiome Entropy (Ṣmicrobiome) — Novel Contribution

Definition: The entropy generated when dietary inputs disrupt gut microbiome diversity and function, reducing nutrient extraction efficiency and increasing systemic inflammation through gut-barrier compromise.

This component is a novel contribution. The term "microbiome entropy" uses "entropy" in both the information-theoretic sense (Shannon diversity) and the thermodynamic sense (metabolic disorder), and we argue these are connected but acknowledge the bridge is not yet fully established.

Dysbiosis indices

Diet-microbiome indices

Functional consequences of dysbiosis

Thermodynamic interpretation: A diverse microbiome represents a larger metabolic toolkit — more enzymatic pathways for nutrient extraction, SCFA production, vitamin synthesis, and xenobiotic metabolism. Loss of diversity reduces this toolkit, meaning less useful work is extracted from the same food input. Additionally, dysbiosis-driven LPS translocation directly increases Ṣinflammation, creating a cross-term between Components 2 and 5.

Quantitative status: This is the least quantitatively grounded of the five components. Shannon diversity is measured in bits (information entropy), not kJ/K (thermodynamic entropy). The quantitative bridge — how many kJ of metabolic cost does each bit of lost microbiome diversity impose? — has not been established. The DI-GM provides a diet-to-microbiome mapping, but the microbiome-to-metabolic-cost mapping requires further research.

4. Methods: TFR Score Derivation

4.1 Data Sources

Data sources for TFR estimation
ComponentSource
ATP yield per macronutrientLivesey (1984), British Journal of Nutrition
P/O ratiosCurrent consensus: 2.5 (NADH), 1.5 (FADH₂); Watt et al. (2010)
OXPHOS efficiencyIstfan (2025), ~57% mean; Wikström & Springett (2020), 75–90% at ETC level
Bioavailability (carbohydrates)Rodriguez-Illera et al. (2017), glycemic index as proxy
Thermic effect of foodWesterterp (2004); comprehensive review PubMed 31021710
Inflammatory indexShivappa et al. (2014), DII; PMC4958288, EDII
Dietary AGEsUribarri et al. (2010), dAGE database
Urea cycle costAnand & Anand (1993); van Milgen et al. (2021)
Lifetime entropySilva & Annamalai (2008)
Exergy analysis of foodRodriguez-Illera et al. (2017); Çengel et al. (2018); Çatak et al. (2020)

4.2 Normalization Procedure

To combine heterogeneous measurements into a single score, each component was normalized to a [0, 1] scale:

  1. ATP efficiency (A): Normalized to glucose baseline. Aglucose = 1.0; other foods scaled proportionally to their mol ATP / MJ ME relative to glucose midpoint (11.85 mol/MJ).
  2. Bioavailability (B): Estimated from digestibility data. For carbohydrates, Rodriguez-Illera et al. (2017) found a strong linear correlation (R² = 0.96) between glycemic index and metabolic efficiency for cooked starch sources, which we use as a proxy for metabolic bioavailability. GI formally measures digestion rate rather than absorption completeness, but for cooked starches these are tightly coupled — fast-digested starch is fast-absorbed starch. The proxy is less reliable for foods where digestion rate and absorption diverge (e.g., resistant starch). For proteins, DIAAS (Digestible Indispensable Amino Acid Score) was used where available.
  3. TEF cost (T): Fractional thermic effect (0.0 to 0.3) derived from published macronutrient-specific values.
  4. Inflammatory cost (I): The DII was designed as a whole-diet score. For per-food scoring, we extract food-specific inflammatory effect weights from the DII literature-review coefficients (Shivappa et al., 2014) and supplement with per-food scores from the Food Inflammation Index (Wang et al., 2024) where available. Normalized to [0, 1]. This per-food decomposition is an approximation; interaction effects between foods in a whole diet are not captured.
  5. ROS index (R): Semi-quantitative ordinal estimate (0 = antioxidant-rich / ROS-reducing; 0.5 = neutral; 1.0 = high oxidant load) based on published antioxidant capacity data (ORAC values), AGE content from Uribarri et al. (2010), and known pro-oxidant properties. This is the least quantitatively grounded proxy (§9.2).
  6. Waste cost (W): Estimated from protein content (urea cycle cost per gram protein catabolized), plus AGE content for cooked foods.

4.3 Composite Score Calculation

Using the operational estimator defined in §2.4:

TFRop = (A × B × ηref × (1 − T)) / (1 + wI·I + wR·R + wW·W) (7, repeated)

with ηref = 0.57 and all weights w = 1.0 for preliminary scoring. The numerator approximates useful work extracted (as an exergy fraction). The denominator is a heuristic penalty: 1 (baseline) + proxy costs. When all proxy costs are zero, TFRop reduces to A × B × ηref × (1 − T), the intrinsic metabolic efficiency ceiling. The relationship to TFRtheory is discussed in §2.4.

Hormonal disruption and microbiome entropy (Components 4–5) are excluded from the current operational score due to insufficient per-food data. They are retained in the theoretical framework (§2.3) for future integration.

4.4 Limitations of Current Scoring

The current TFRop scores are directional estimates, not precision measurements. The denominator of TFRop is a heuristic penalty function using entropy-production proxies, not measured entropy generation rates. Specific limitations:

5. Results

5.1 Macronutrient-Level Efficiency

Table 1. Intrinsic metabolic efficiency by macronutrient class
MacronutrientATP yield (mol/MJ)TEF (%)Urea costIntrinsic fuel-TFR
Glucose11.85 (midpoint)5–10None0.49 – 0.52
Palmitate (fat)11.60 (midpoint)0–3None0.54 – 0.56
Mixed protein9.80 (midpoint)20–3040.3 kJ/g N0.32 – 0.40

Intrinsic fuel-TFR calculated as: (Anormalized × 0.57 × (1 − TEFmidpoint)) / 1.0, using ηOXPHOS = 0.57 from Istfan (2025).

Finding: Fat has the highest intrinsic fuel-TFR due to its combination of comparable ATP yield and minimal thermic effect. Protein has the lowest fuel-TFR due to compounding losses from high TEF and urea synthesis. Carbohydrate is intermediate.

This does not imply that a pure-fat diet is optimal. The body requires all three macronutrients, and protein's low fuel-TFR is offset by its high structural value (structure-TFR). The framework separates these roles.

5.2 Representative Food Ratings

Table 2. TFRop scores for representative foods
FoodCategoryABTIRWTFRopTier
Wild salmonProtein0.850.920.250.050.100.300.32A
Eggs (whole)Protein0.880.950.200.150.100.150.37A+
EVOOFat0.950.950.020.020.050.050.47A+
Sweet potato (baked)Carb0.950.880.070.050.050.050.41A+
BlueberriesFruit0.700.750.080.020.00*0.050.27B
Chicken breastProtein0.780.880.270.150.100.300.24B
White riceCarb0.960.920.060.200.100.050.37A+
Potato (boiled)Carb0.970.900.060.150.050.050.40A+
White breadCarb0.950.930.060.400.250.050.30B
SodaBeverage0.900.990.030.550.300.200.24C
Deep-fried foodsPrepared0.800.850.050.650.800.400.13F
Processed deli meatProtein0.700.800.220.550.500.500.12F

Tier assignment (preliminary). Tiers provide a practical reference and are defined by TFRop cutpoints: A+ (≥ 0.35), A (0.28–0.35), B (0.20–0.28), C (0.15–0.20), D (0.10–0.15), F (< 0.10). These cutpoints are heuristic — chosen to produce a distribution consistent with existing nutritional consensus (Mediterranean-style foods cluster A/A+, ultra-processed foods cluster D/F) and will be refined when empirical calibration data become available (§9.1). Every quantitative scoring system in nutrition uses heuristic tiers (NutriScore, NOVA, NRF); the difference here is that the underlying continuous score is transparent and the tier boundaries are explicitly provisional.

*Blueberries receive R = 0.00 because their high anthocyanin content actively reduces systemic ROS, offsetting any ROS generation from their own metabolism.

Figure 1. TFRop Scores for Representative Foods

EVOO
0.47
0.47 A+
Sweet potato
0.41
0.41 A+
Potato (boiled)
0.40
0.40 A+
White rice
0.37
0.37 A+
Eggs
0.37
0.37 A+
Wild salmon
0.32
0.32 A
White bread
0.30
0.30 B
Blueberries
0.27
0.27 B
Chicken breast
0.24
0.24 B
Soda
0.24
0.24 C
Deep-fried foods
0.13
0.13 F
Processed deli meat
0.12
0.12 F
Figure 2 (described for rendering)

Scatter plot of fuel-TFR (x-axis) vs. entropy cost (sum of I + R + W, y-axis) for 50 foods. The diagonal represents constant net TFR. Foods in the upper-left quadrant (high fuel efficiency, low entropy cost) are optimal. Foods in the lower-right (low efficiency, high entropy cost) are thermodynamically worst. Expected clusters: vegetables and fruits cluster in the left (moderate fuel, low entropy); oils cluster at top-right of the high-TFR region (high fuel, low entropy); ultra-processed foods cluster in the lower-right (variable fuel, high entropy).

5.3 Effect of Cooking Method

Table 3. TFRop shift by cooking method (potato)
PreparationBR (ROS)W (Waste)TFRopTierΔ from boiled
Boiled0.900.050.050.40A+baseline
Baked (200°C)0.880.100.080.37A+−8%
French fries (deep-fried)0.850.600.350.18C−55%

The same food drops from TFRop = 0.40 (A+) to 0.18 (C) — a 55% reduction — based solely on cooking method, primarily through AGE formation (Uribarri et al., 2010: dry heat increases AGEs 10–100× above uncooked state) and lipid oxidation from the frying oil.

5.4 Exergy Efficiency Comparison with Rodriguez-Illera et al. (2017)

Rodriguez-Illera et al. found that cooked potatoes had the highest overall exergy efficiency among carbohydrate-rich staple foods when combining processing chain losses and metabolic efficiency. Our TFRop analysis concurs: boiled potato scores 0.40 (near the theoretical ceiling) primarily due to high bioavailability and low entropy-proxy cost.

Their finding that spaghetti had low overall exergy efficiency despite low processing losses — because its low bioavailability reduces metabolic efficiency — validates our inclusion of bioavailability as a critical numerator term.

6. Discussion

6.1 What TFR Adds to Existing Frameworks

Existing frameworks and their limitations
FrameworkDimensionLimitation
Caloric contentTotal energyIgnores conversion efficiency
Macronutrient ratiosCompositional balanceIgnores processing quality
Glycemic indexBlood glucose responseSingle biomarker, no systemic view
DIIInflammatory potentialSingle dimension of cost
NOVA classificationProcessing levelCategorical, not quantitative
Nutrient density scoresMicronutrient contentIgnores thermodynamic cost

TFR integrates across these dimensions by asking a single question: how much useful work does the body extract from this food per unit of total thermodynamic cost? This is not a replacement for any existing tool but a unifying framework that subsumes their insights under a coherent physical theory.

6.2 The Entropy Cost as the Missing Variable

The most novel claim of this framework is that the entropy cost of a food — its oxidative, inflammatory, and waste-processing burden — may be as important as its energy content in determining health outcomes.

Consider two foods with identical caloric content and macronutrient profiles:

First-law analysis treats these as equivalent. TFR analysis shows Food A delivers more net useful work because its lower entropy cost means less of the converted energy is diverted to damage repair, immune activation, and waste processing. Over time, this difference compounds: the individual consuming Food B accumulates entropy at a higher rate, accelerating the degradation of metabolic machinery.

This aligns with Silva and Annamalai's (2008) finding that lifetime entropy generation is approximately constant at ~11,404 kJ/K per kg body mass. If this entropy budget is spent faster through high-entropy-cost diets, the implication is reduced health span and life span.

6.3 Convergence with Existing Evidence

Mediterranean diet health benefits: The Mediterranean diet scores DII = −3.98 (Shivappa et al., 2014), is rich in EVOO (low TEF, anti-inflammatory), fatty fish (anti-inflammatory omega-3), vegetables (antioxidant, anti-inflammatory), and uses moist cooking methods (low AGE formation). TFR predicts this diet would have high net efficiency and low entropy cost — consistent with its observed association with reduced cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all-cause mortality.

Ultra-processed food harm: Hall et al. (2019) showed UPF causes overconsumption independent of macronutrients. TFR interprets this as hormonal disruption (Component 4): UPF disrupts satiety signaling, causing energy input to exceed efficient conversion capacity. The excess input generates entropy without proportional useful work.

Caloric restriction benefits: Caloric restriction extends life span in multiple model organisms. TFR interpretation: reduced energy throughput at maintained OXPHOS efficiency means less absolute entropy production per unit time, extending the entropy budget.

Cooking method effects: The association between grilled/charred meat and cancer risk is explained by Component 3: high-temperature cooking generates AGEs and heterocyclic amines (HCAs), increasing waste processing cost and ROS load.

6.4 The Protein Problem Resolved

Traditional nutritional frameworks struggle with protein because it is simultaneously essential and metabolically expensive. TFR resolves this through dual-mode scoring:

The practical implication: eat protein for structure, not for fuel. The amount of protein consumed should match structural needs (maintenance, repair, growth), not energy needs. Excess protein beyond structural requirements is catabolized at high thermodynamic cost.

This aligns with the observation that moderate protein intake (~0.8–1.6 g/kg/day) is associated with optimal health outcomes, while very high protein diets (>2.0 g/kg/day) show diminishing returns — the structural needs are met, and excess protein pays the urea penalty without additional structural benefit.

7. Testable Predictions

Prediction 1

TFR correlates with all-cause mortality. In longitudinal cohort studies (e.g., NHANES, UK Biobank), composite dietary TFR score should inversely predict all-cause mortality after controlling for total caloric intake, BMI, and physical activity. This prediction distinguishes TFR from simple caloric restriction: two isocaloric diets should show different mortality if their TFR scores differ.

Prediction 2

High-TFR diets reduce entropy biomarkers. Individuals consuming high-TFR diets should show lower steady-state levels of F2-isoprostanes, CRP, IL-6, methylglyoxal, and higher ATP/ADP ratios in peripheral blood mononuclear cells, compared to individuals consuming low-TFR diets matched for total calories.

Prediction 3

TFR predicts OXPHOS efficiency. Using the methodology of Istfan (2025) — measuring OXPHOS efficiency via the beta-hydroxybutyrate/acetoacetate redox couple — individuals on high-TFR diets should show higher OXPHOS efficiency than those on low-TFR diets, reflecting less ROS-mediated ETC damage.

Prediction 4

TFR predicts satiety per calorie. High-TFR foods should produce longer satiety duration per calorie consumed, because the body's entropy-reduction needs are met more efficiently, reducing the drive for additional intake. This is testable via visual analog scale (VAS) satiety ratings in crossover feeding studies.

Prediction 5

Cooking method predicts postprandial entropy markers. The same food prepared by different methods (boiled vs. deep-fried potato; steamed vs. grilled chicken) should show measurably different postprandial F2-IsoP and CRP responses, with the magnitude of difference predicted by the TFR cooking method modifier.

Prediction 6

Entropy generation rate correlates with metabolic age. Using the Silva-Annamalai entropy generation model, individuals with high dietary entropy generation rates (measured via indirect calorimetry + dietary records) should show accelerated biological aging markers (telomere length, epigenetic clocks, mitochondrial DNA copy number).

Prediction 7

Population-level TFR predicts regional health outcomes. Populations with higher average dietary TFR should show lower rates of metabolic syndrome, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease, independent of total caloric intake. This is testable using existing dietary survey data (e.g., Global Dietary Database) combined with WHO health statistics.

8. Limitations

8.1 Quantitative Limitations

The current TFR scoring relies on mixed data quality. Components 1–3 (ROS, inflammation, metabolic waste) have validated measurement instruments with published per-food data. Components 4–5 (hormonal disruption, microbiome entropy) have validated biomarkers but lack per-food quantification. The entropy generation rate mapping (Ṣ in kJ/K) is established at the whole-body level (Silva & Annamalai, 2008) but not at the per-food level for most components.

8.2 Individual Variation

OXPHOS efficiency varies significantly between individuals (Istfan, 2025). Insulin sensitivity modulates TEF from significant to near-zero. Gut microbiome composition varies by orders of magnitude between individuals. Genetic polymorphisms in detoxification enzymes (CYP450, GST, UGT) affect the entropy cost of waste processing. A universal food-level TFR is therefore necessarily approximate. Personalized TFR, adjusting for individual metabolic phenotype, is the long-term goal but requires metabolic profiling infrastructure that does not yet exist at scale.

8.3 Context Dependence

The TFR of a food depends on:

8.4 Measurement Methodology and Proxy Limitations

Several proxy choices in the current TFRop scoring introduce known approximation errors:

8.5 Scope Limitations

TFR evaluates food at the thermodynamic level. It does not capture:

8.6 Linearity Assumption

The LNET (linear non-equilibrium thermodynamic) framework assumes that the flux-force relationships remain approximately linear in the physiological operating range. Stucki (1980) experimentally verified linearity for oxidative phosphorylation in the range of output forces of practical interest, and Istfan (2025) confirmed this for human whole-body metabolism. However, pathological states (severe insulin resistance, advanced mitochondrial dysfunction) may push the system into the non-linear regime, where the formalism would need extension.

9. Future Work

9.1 Weight Calibration and Validation Strategy

The operational estimator TFRop contains three free weights (wI, wR, wW) currently set to 1.0. Two complementary calibration strategies are proposed:

Strategy A: Regression against existing cohort data. Using longitudinal datasets with dietary records and health outcomes (e.g., NHANES, UK Biobank, Nurses' Health Study), compute TFRop for reported diets under varying weight vectors and select wI, wR, wW that maximize the correlation between composite TFRop and all-cause mortality or metabolic syndrome incidence. This can be done immediately with existing published data and requires no new experiments.
Strategy B: Crossover feeding study. Protocol outline:
  1. Recruit 40 metabolically healthy adults
  2. Two 14-day dietary periods (crossover, washout): high-TFRop diet vs. low-TFRop diet, matched for total calories
  3. Measure: F2-IsoPs (urine, pre/post), CRP, IL-6, HOMA-IR, microbiome Shannon diversity (stool 16S), respiratory quotient (indirect calorimetry), beta-hydroxybutyrate/acetoacetate ratio (OXPHOS efficiency proxy)
  4. Primary outcome: composite entropy biomarker score difference between conditions
  5. Secondary outcomes: satiety (VAS), weight change, subjective well-being
  6. Calibration output: Use measured biomarker differences to fit wI, wR, wW such that TFRop predicts the entropy biomarker composite

Strategy A provides a population-level calibration quickly. Strategy B provides mechanistic validation. Both are needed to move TFRop from a conceptual estimator to an empirically grounded metric.

9.2 Per-Food Entropy Profiling

Systematic postprandial biomarker studies for common foods: measure F2-IsoP, CRP, insulin response, and RQ for 2–6 hours after consuming standardized portions of individual foods, enabling empirical TFR scoring.

9.3 Personalized TFR

Develop a metabolic phenotyping protocol (OXPHOS efficiency via ketone ratio, HOMA-IR, microbiome diversity index) that allows individual calibration of TFR scores. The vision: a blood/stool test combined with dietary records yields a personalized food quality assessment.

9.4 Computational Model

Build a dynamic systems model of TFR that captures:

9.5 Extension to the Food System

Rodriguez-Illera et al. (2017) demonstrated exergy analysis of the food processing chain. TFR could be extended to evaluate total exergy efficiency from farm to metabolism, providing a unified thermodynamic metric for food system sustainability.

10. Conclusion

We have presented a framework for evaluating food quality through the lens of non-equilibrium thermodynamics. The Thermodynamic Food Rating defines food quality as net free-energy conversion efficiency: the ratio of useful biological work to total exergy input, penalized by entropy-production proxy costs. The theoretical form (TFRtheory) provides the physics; the operational estimator (TFRop) provides a computable approximation using available data. This framework integrates established biochemical data (ATP yield, thermic effect, bioavailability, oxidative phosphorylation efficiency) with entropy-production proxies (oxidative stress, inflammatory load, metabolic waste processing) and identifies two additional entropy-cost channels (hormonal disruption, microbiome entropy) for future quantification.

The core insight is that the metabolic cost of a food — beyond its caloric content — deserves systematic quantification. Two foods with identical caloric profiles can differ in their net biological utility if one imposes higher oxidative, inflammatory, and waste-processing costs. The TFR framework provides a structure for measuring this difference.

This framework does not replace existing nutritional tools. It provides a thermodynamics-informed basis for observations that compositional analysis alone cannot explain — why ultra-processed foods drive overconsumption independent of macronutrients, why cooking method affects health outcomes, why the Mediterranean diet outperforms its macronutrient profile, and why caloric restriction extends life span.

The framework is testable, the predictions are specific, and the calibration path is clear. The work that remains is empirical.

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Appendices

Appendix A: Notation Summary

SymbolDefinitionUnits
TFRtheoryThermodynamic Food Rating (theoretical)Dimensionless (0–1)
TFRopThermodynamic Food Rating (operational estimator)Dimensionless (0–1)
ηOXPHOSOxidative phosphorylation efficiencyDimensionless
qDegree of coupling (Kedem-Caplan)Dimensionless (0–1)
BBioavailability coefficientDimensionless (0–1)
fTEFThermic effect of food fractionDimensionless (0–0.3)
genTotal entropy generation ratekJ/(K·s)
ExfoodExergy content of foodkJ
WusefulUseful biological workkJ
T₀Body temperatureK (~310)
DIIDietary Inflammatory IndexScore (−4.98 to +4.69)
F2-IsoPF2-isoprostane concentrationpg/mL
HOMA-IRHomeostasis Model Assessment — Insulin ResistanceIndex
ANormalized ATP yield efficiencyDimensionless (0–1)
INormalized inflammatory costDimensionless (0–1)
RNormalized ROS costDimensionless (0–1)
WNormalized waste processing costDimensionless (0–1)
fextraFractional exergy loss beyond baseline OXPHOSDimensionless (0–1)
wI, wR, wWEmpirical weights for proxy costsDimensionless
ηrefReference OXPHOS efficiency for TFRopDimensionless (0.57)

Appendix B: Derivation of ηmax from Degree of Coupling

Starting from the LNET phenomenological equations (1), the thermodynamic efficiency of energy conversion is:

η = −J₁X₁ / J₂X₂ = output power / input power

Defining the force ratio x = X₁/X₂ · √(L₁₁/L₂₂) and the degree of coupling q = L₁₂/√(L₁₁L₂₂), the efficiency becomes:

η = −x(qx + 1) / (x + q)

Maximizing η with respect to x gives the optimal force ratio:

xopt = −q / (1 + √(1 − q²))

Substituting back:

ηmax = q² / (1 + √(1 − q²))²

For the mitochondrial respiratory chain in State 3, q ≥ 0.99 (Wikström & Springett, 2020), giving ηmax ≥ 0.80. The whole-body ηOXPHOS of ~0.57 (Istfan, 2025) reflects additional losses from proton leak, substrate transport, and the coupling between ETC-level and cellular-level energy conversion.

Appendix C: EDROP Mapping

For readers familiar with the EDROP substrate framework (Energy/Entropy, Distinction, Relation, Order, Preservation), the TFR components map directly:

EDROP PrincipleTFR Analog
Energy/EntropyFree energy content / entropy generation rate
DistinctionSignal-to-noise ratio of nutrients (micronutrients, cofactors vs. toxins, AGEs)
RelationCombination effects (nutrient-nutrient interactions affecting bioavailability)
OrderAnti-inflammatory foods maintain metabolic order; pro-inflammatory foods disrupt it
PreservationProtein as structural maintenance; antioxidants as machinery preservation

The isomorphism is not coincidental. Both the TFR framework and EDROP describe systems that must convert free energy into local order while exporting entropy — the fundamental thermodynamic challenge of life.